October 2018 Construction Spending

Click image for larger view

Construction spending during October 2018 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $1,308.8 billion, 0.1% (±1.5%)* below the revised September estimate of $1,310.8 billion (originally $1,329.5 billion); consensus expectations were for +0.4%. The October figure is 4.9% (±1.6%) above the October 2017 SAAR of $1,247.5 billion; the not-seasonally adjusted YoY change (shown in the table below) was +4.5%.

During the first 10 months of this year, construction spending amounted to $1,096.4 billion, 5.1% (±1.2%) above the $1,043.6 billion for the same period in 2017.

* 90% confidence interval includes zero. The U.S. Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different from zero. 

Click image for larger view

Private Construction

Spending on private construction was at a SAAR of $998.7 billion, 0.4% (±0.8%)* below the revised September estimate of $1,003.0 billion.
- Residential: $539.0 billion, 0.5% (±1.3%)* below the revised September estimate of $541.7 billion.
- Nonresidential: $459.7 billion, 0.3% (±0.8%)* below the revised September estimate of $461.3 billion.

Public Construction

Public construction spending was $310.2 billion, 0.8% (±2.6%)* above the revised September estimate of $307.8 billion.
- Educational: $76.9 billion, 2.6% (±2.3%)* above the revised September estimate of $75.0 billion.
- Highway: $94.6 billion, 0.1% (±6.9%)* below the revised September estimate of $94.6 billion. 

Click image for larger view

Click here for a discussion of October’s new residential permits, starts and completions. Click here for a discussion of new and existing home sales, inventories and prices.

The foregoing comments represent the general economic views and analysis of Delphi Advisors, and are provided solely for the purpose of information, instruction and discourse. They do not constitute a solicitation or recommendation regarding any investment.