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Wednesday, March 6, 2024

February 2024 Monthly Average Crude Oil Price

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The monthly average U.S.-dollar price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil advanced by $3.10 (+4.2%) to $77.25/barrel in February. That increase occurred within the context of a marginally stronger U.S. dollar (broad trade-weighted index basis -- goods and services), the lagged impacts of December’s decline of 417,000 barrels per day (b/d) in the amount of petroleum products demanded/supplied (to 20.3 million b/d), and accumulated oil stocks that climbed seasonally higher -- (February 2024 average: 439 million barrels). 

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Selected highlights from the 01 March 2024 issue of OilPrice.com’s Oil & Energy Insider include:

“Oil prices remained stubbornly rangebound in February as signs of a recovering U.S. economy were countered by weaker economic data in both Europe and China,” wrote editor Tom Kool. “Diverging macroeconomic news, with China and Europe continuing to struggle with below-expectations manufacturing activity while the United States is nearing the point of first interest rate cuts, failed to alter the trading patterns of February, keeping Brent around the $83 per barrel mark. The next big thing to happen to the oil markets will be OPEC+ announcing the scrapping or the extension of voluntary production cuts.” As expected, those cuts were extended into 2Q2024.

DoE Solicits Another 3 MMbbls SPR Refill. Having bought 2.95 million barrels of sour crude for an average price of 77.81 per barrel for June-delivery oil, the US Department of Energy announced a new solicitation for 3 million barrels to be delivered in July. 

US Natural Gas Output Hits All-Time High in December. Gross US natural gas production from the lower 48 states soared to a record high in December, reaching 118.2 BCf per day, up 7% year-on-year as the Permian, Marcellus, and Utica basins have all continued their steady rise.

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The foregoing comments represent the general economic views and analysis of Delphi Advisors, and are provided solely for the purpose of information, instruction and discourse. They do not constitute a solicitation or recommendation regarding any investment.

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