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Macro Pulse highlights recent activity and events expected to affect the U.S. economy over the next 24 months. While the review is of the entire U.S. economy its particular focus is on developments affecting the Forest Products industry. Everyone with a stake in any level of the sector can benefit from
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Friday, June 3, 2011

April 2011 Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and New Orders

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Shipments, inventories and new orders put in mixed performances at the total manufacturing and individual industry levels during April according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
 
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Shipments decreased $0.9 billion (0.2 percent) to $444.5 billion in April, breaking a trend of seven consecutive monthly increases. Durable goods shipments decreased $2.5 billion (1.3 percent) to $194.4 billion, led by transportation equipment. Shipments of nondurable goods partially offset the durable-goods decline by increasing $1.6 billion (0.6 percent) to $250.1 billion. Food products led the nondurable increase. Wood and Paper shipments both fell, by 0.1 and 0.6 percent, respectively.
 
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Data from the Association of American Railroads (AAR) and the Ceridian-UCLA Pulse of Commerce Index (PCI) help round out the picture on goods shipments. AAR reported a substantial 21.2 percent drop in not-seasonally adjusted rail shipments in April. Seasonal adjustments turned that decline into an increase of 1.2 percent. The PCI (which measures diesel consumption of highway trucking) fell by a seasonally and workday adjusted 0.5 percent relative to March.
 
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Inventories increased $7.7 billion (1.3 percent) to $587.8 billion. The inventories-to-shipments ratio was 1.32, up from 1.30 in March. Durable goods inventories increased $3.3 billion (0.9 percent) to $350.6 billion, the highest level since the series was first published on a NAICS basis. Transportation equipment had the largest increase among the durable goods category.

Inventories of nondurable goods increased $4.4 billion (1.9 percent) to $237.2 billion, led by petroleum and coal products. Wood and Paper inventories were mixed; Wood inventories rose by 0.4 percent while Paper shrank by 0.2 percent.
 
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New orders for manufactured goods in April, down two of the last three months, decreased $5.5 billion (1.2 percent) to $440.4 billion. This followed a 3.8 percent March increase. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.2 percent.

Durable goods orders decreased $7.1 billion (3.6 percent) to $190.3 billion, on the heels of a 4.6 percent March increase; transportation equipment had the largest decrease, $4.8 billion (9.3 percent) to $46.9 billion. New orders for nondurable goods increased $1.6 billion (0.6 percent) to $250.1 billion.

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