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The
monthly average U.S.-dollar price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil rose
at a more moderate pace in June (+$0.57), to $59.84 per barrel. The price increase
coincided with a slightly stronger U.S. dollar, the lagged impacts of a 201,000
barrel-per-day (BPD) decrease in the amount of oil supplied/demanded in April
(to 19.0 million BPD), and generally stable oil stocks. The monthly average
price spread between Brent crude (the predominant grade used in Europe) and WTI
narrowed by $3.12 in June, to $1.69 per barrel.
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With
futures prices in “contango” (i.e., near-term contracts are priced lower than
later-term contracts), we do not expect significant additional fallout in spot
oil prices.
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The foregoing comments represent the
general economic views and analysis of Delphi
Advisors, and are provided solely for the purpose of information, instruction
and discourse. They do not constitute a solicitation or recommendation
regarding any investment.
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