July 2020 Construction Spending

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Construction spending during July 2020 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $1,364.6 billion, 0.1% (±1.2%)* above the revised June estimate of $1,362.8 billion (originally $1,355.2 billion); consensus expectations were for +1.0%. The July figure is 0.1% (±1.6%)* below the July 2019 SAAR of $1,366.0 billion; the not-seasonally adjusted YoY change (shown in the table below) was -0.9%.

During the first seven months of this year, construction spending amounted to $792.6 billion, 4.0 percent (±1.2 percent) above the $761.9 billion for the same period in 2019.

* 90% confidence interval includes zero. The U.S. Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different from zero.

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Private Construction

Spending on private construction was at a SAAR of $1,013.5 billion, 0.6% (±0.5%) above the revised June estimate of $1,007.2 billion (originally $1,001.9 billion):

* Residential: $546.6 billion, +2.1% (±1.3%), of which

* Home improvement: $192.8 billion, -0.5% (+0.8% YoY);

* Nonresidential: $466.9 billion, -1.0% (±0.5%).

Public Construction

Public construction spending was $351.1 billion, 1.3% (±2.0%)* below the revised June estimate of $355.6 billion (originally $353.3 billion):

* Educational: $82.2 billion, -3.0% (±1.8%);

* Highway: $99.0 billion, -3.1% (±5.9%)*.

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Click here for a discussion of July’s new residential permits, starts and completions. Click here for a discussion of new and existing home sales, inventories and prices.

The foregoing comments represent the general economic views and analysis of Delphi Advisors, and are provided solely for the purpose of information, instruction and discourse. They do not constitute a solicitation or recommendation regarding any investment.