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Macro Pulse highlights recent activity and events expected to affect the U.S. economy over the next 24 months. While the review is of the entire U.S. economy its particular focus is on developments affecting the Forest Products industry. Everyone with a stake in any level of the sector can benefit from
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Thursday, March 22, 2012

January 2012 International Trade

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According to data compiled by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, world trade volume increased by 0.9% in January from the previous month, following a revised rise of also 0,9% in December. Imports expanded strongly in most advanced and emerging economies, most notably in Japan. In Emerging Asia imports declined however. Euro Area imports grew for the first time since August. In the preliminary estimates, export growth appears to have been rather lower than import growth, a statistical oddity (and the reversal of the December pattern). Regional differences are also more marked at the export side, with strong figures for the United States and Japan, a decline in Emerging Asia, and a continued decline in the Euro Area.

World trade prices rose by 0.3 percent in January after a downwardly revised decline of 1.0 percent in December.
 
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Total January exports of $180.8 billion and imports of $233.4 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $52.6 billion, up from $50.4 billion in December, the largest deficit since October 2008. January exports were $2.6 billion more than in December, while imports were $4.7 billion higher.
 
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Paper exports started the year off in negative territory, dropping by 19,000 tons (0.7 percent). However, imports fell by an even wider margin: -33,000 tons (4.3 percent). Exports were 78,000 tons (3.0 percent) higher than a year earlier, however, while imports were 99,000 tons (11.8 percent lower).
 
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Softwood lumber exports rose by 1 MMBF (0.7 percent) in January but imports retreated by 119 MMBF (14.9 percent). Exports were 12 MMBF (10.1 percent) higher than year-earlier levels; imports were 20 MMBF (2.9 percent) lower.

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