What is Macro Pulse?

Macro Pulse highlights recent activity and events expected to affect the U.S. economy over the next 24 months. While the review is of the entire U.S. economy its particular focus is on developments affecting the Forest Products industry. Everyone with a stake in any level of the sector can benefit from
Macro Pulse's timely yet in-depth coverage.


Monday, March 14, 2022

January 2022 International Trade (Softwood Lumber)

Click image for larger view

Click image for larger view

Softwood lumber exports edged down (14 MMBF or -12.5%) in January, along with imports (-138 MMBF or -11.4%). Exports were 6 MMBF (6.0%) above year-earlier levels; imports were 226 MMBF (-17.4%) lower. As a result, the year-over-year (YoY) net export deficit was 232 MMBF (-19.2%) smaller. Also, the average net export deficit for the 12 months ending January 2022 was 0.5% lower than the average of the same months a year earlier (the “YoY MA(12) % Chng” series shown in the graph above).

Click image for larger view

North America (55.1% of total exports; of which Mexico: 33.3%; Canada: 21.8%), Asia (18.8%; especially Japan: 6.9%; and Pakistan: 3.4%), and the Caribbean: 20.6% especially the Dominican Republic: 9.1%) were the primary destinations for U.S. softwood lumber exports. Year-to-date (YTD) exports to China (1.4% of U.S. total) were -75.5% relative to the same month of the prior year. Meanwhile, Canada was the source of most (85.4%) softwood lumber imports into the United States. Imports from Canada were 18.8% lower YTD/YTD. Overall, YTD exports were up 6.0% compared to the prior year; imports: -17.4%.

Click image for larger view

Click image for larger view

U.S. softwood lumber export activity through the West Coast customs region represented 35.6% of the U.S. total; Gulf: 35.7%, and Eastern: 21.0%. Seattle (19.1% of the U.S. total), Mobile (16.0%), San Diego (14.3%) and Laredo (10.5%) were among the most active districts. At the same time, Great Lakes customs region handled 55.5% of softwood lumber imports -- most notably the Duluth, MN district (20.2%) -- coming into the United States.

Click image for larger view

Click image for larger view

Southern yellow pine comprised 18.3% of all softwood lumber exports; Douglas-fir (17.4%), treated lumber (17.4%), other pine (8.7%) and finger-jointed (8.7%) were also significant. Southern pine exports were down 18.8% YTD/YTD, while Doug-fir: +12.4%; and treated: +29.7%.

The foregoing comments represent the general economic views and analysis of Delphi Advisors, and are provided solely for the purpose of information, instruction and discourse. They do not constitute a solicitation or recommendation regarding any investment.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.