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Thursday, December 8, 2011

October 2011 Personal Income and Outlays, Retail Sales and Consumer Debt

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Bureau of Economic Analysis data showed that personal income increased $48.1 billion (0.4 percent) and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $30.2 billion (0.3 percent) in October. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $8.2 billion (0.1 percent). Real (inflation-adjusted) DPI increased 0.3 percent while real PCE rose by 0.1 percent.
 
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With DPI increasing faster than PCE, the personal saving rate rose to 3.5 percent, well off the recent peak of 5.0 percent seen in June. Despite the October increase, the three-month average saving rate pictured above dropped to 3.6 percent.
 
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Consumers ramped up spending on retail goods in October, by 0.5 percent. The “other” category saw the biggest jump ($1.7 billion or 0.6 percent), driven largely – according to Goldman Sachs – by the introduction of Apple’s latest iPhone.
 
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Total consumer debt outstanding increased in October, rising by a seasonally adjusted and annualized rate of 3.7 percent. The increase was broad-based; only commercial banks and finance companies saw a decline.

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