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Macro Pulse highlights recent activity and events expected to affect the U.S. economy over the next 24 months. While the review is of the entire U.S. economy its particular focus is on developments affecting the Forest Products industry. Everyone with a stake in any level of the sector can benefit from
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Thursday, October 4, 2012

August 2012 Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and New Orders

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According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the value of manufactured-goods shipments decreased $1.3 billion or 0.3 percent to $476.9 billion. This followed a 1.9 percent July increase. Durable goods shipments decreased $6.7 billion or 2.9 percent to $222.4 billion, led by transportation equipment. Shipments of manufactured nondurable goods increased $5.4 billion or 2.2 percent to $254.5 billion. Petroleum and coal products led the increase.

Forest products shipments were mixed: Wood rose by 0.4 percent but Paper fell by 0.1 percent.
 
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Data from the Association of American Railroads (AAR) and the American Trucking Associations’ (ATA) advance seasonally adjusted For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index help round out the picture on goods shipments. AAR reported a 32.4 percent increase in not-seasonally adjusted rail shipments in August (relative to July), and a 1.4 percent drop from a year earlier. Excluding coal carloads, year-over-years shipments were up 3.3 percent. Seasonal adjustments turned the 32.4 percent July-to-August increase to a 0.7 percent decrease. Rail shipments of forest-related products were higher in August than a year earlier. The ATA’s advance index showed a 0.9 percent contraction in August.
 
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Inventories increased $3.7 billion or 0.6 percent to $611.8 billion in August -- the highest level since the series was first published on a NAICS basis in 1992 and followed a 0.6 percent July increase. The inventories-to-shipments ratio was 1.28, up from 1.27 in July.

Durable goods inventories increased $2.4 billion or 0.6 percent to $372.2 billion, led by transportation equipment. Inventories of nondurable goods increased $1.3 billion or 0.6 percent to $239.6 billion. Petroleum and coal products drove the increase.

Wood and Paper inventories were split: Wood rose by 0.3 while Paper fell by 0.6 percent.
 
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New orders for manufactured goods decreased $24.9 billion or 5.2 percent to $452.8 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.7 percent.

Durable goods orders decreased $30.3 billion or 13.2 percent to $198.3 billion, led once again by transportation equipment. New orders for nondurable goods increased $5.4 billion or 2.2 percent to $254.5 billion.

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