What is Macro Pulse?

Macro Pulse highlights recent activity and events expected to affect the U.S. economy over the next 24 months. While the review is of the entire U.S. economy its particular focus is on developments affecting the Forest Products industry. Everyone with a stake in any level of the sector can benefit from
Macro Pulse's timely yet in-depth coverage.

Saturday, March 19, 2011

February 2011 Consumer and Producer Price Indices

Click image for larger version

The seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent in February. Over the last 12 months, the all-items index increased 2.1 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Although the seasonally adjusted increase in the all-items index was broad-based, the energy index was once again the largest contributor. The gasoline index continued to rise, and the index for household energy turned up in February with all of its components posting increases. Food indexes also continued to rise in February, with sharp increases in the indexes for fresh vegetables and meats contributing to a 0.8 percent increase in the food at home index, the largest since July 2008.

The index for all items less food and energy rose in February as well. Most of its major components posted increases, including the indexes for shelter, new vehicles, medical care, and airline fares. The apparel index was one of the few to decline.

The 12-month changes in major indexes continue to trend upward. The all-items index increased 2.1 percent for the 12 months ending February; the figure was 1.1 percent as recently as November. The 12- month increase in the index for all items less food and energy reached 1.1 percent in February after being as low as 0.6 percent in October. The 11.0 percent increase in the energy index is the largest since May 2010, while the 2.3 percent rise in the food index is the largest since May 2009.

The seasonally adjusted Producer Price Index for Finished Goods (PPI) increased 1.6 percent in February. This rise followed advances of 0.8 percent in January and 0.9 percent in December, and marks the largest increase in finished goods prices since a 1.9-percent advance in June 2009. At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods moved up 2.0 percent, and the crude goods index climbed 3.4 percent. On an unadjusted basis, prices for finished goods advanced 5.6 percent for the 12 months ended February 2011, the largest 12-month increase since a 5.9-percent rise in March 2010.
Click image for larger version

Details at different stages of processing include:

Finished goods -- Leading the broad-based increase in the index for finished goods, prices for finished energy goods and finished consumer foods moved up 3.3 percent and 3.9 percent, respectively. The index for finished goods less foods and energy also contributed to this advance, rising 0.2 percent.

Intermediate goods -- This index advanced 2.0 percent in February, the largest increase since a 2.7-percent rise in July 2008. About half of the broad-based February advance can be attributed to prices for intermediate energy goods, which climbed 4.3 percent. The indexes for intermediate goods other than foods and energy and for intermediate foods and feeds also contributed to this increase, moving up 1.1 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended February 2011, prices for intermediate goods climbed 7.8 percent, the largest advance since rising 8.3 percent in May 2010.

Crude goods -- The crude-goods index rose 3.4 percent in February. For the 3 months ended in February, prices for crude materials climbed 13.8 percent, subsequent to a 6.7-percent increase for the 3 months ended November 2010. Over three-fourths of the February over-the-month advance is attributable to the index for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs, which jumped 6.7 percent. Also contributing to the rise in prices for crude goods, the indexes for crude nonfood materials less energy and crude energy materials moved up 2.3 percent and 0.9 percent, respectively.
Click image for larger version

In the forest products sector, most indices we track moved higher in February. Except for pulpwood, prices are all higher than year-earlier levels although the rate of growth has slowed in several cases.
Click image for larger version

Click image for larger version

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.